Dubai- UAE: The UAE weather pattern is becoming increasingly more unpredictable than most locals would like to accept as the country goes further into the winter. The current forecast provided by the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) indicates fair to partly cloudy with a small chance of rain but the weather conditions are expected to change throughout the following days as the atmosphere is going to be more turbulent.
Projection on Friday, January 23, 2026, generally mild weather throughout the Emirates, light or medium-intensity winds, and rising humidity, especially at night to the morning of Saturday. The daytime temperatures in coastal regions should not exceed the high teens to low-mid twenties Celsius, whereas inland deserts it is likely that the daytime temperatures will be higher, and the night temperatures will be lower. Mountainous areas, including the Hajar range, will also be much cooler generally.
The skies of today are likely to be generally fair or partially cloudy with a low chance of rain affecting them, particularly when compared to more powerful winter systems that have been experienced over the past few months. This comparatively quiet UAE weather implies that most of the outdoor activities and traveling plans are to continue without significant interruptions; however the people living in the area are still advised to watch the accumulation of clouds, particularly in the late afternoon and evening.
Increasing Rainfall Probabilities?
The rain risk is currently low, but the UAE is in the period when winter is uneven, and the level of moisture is increasing throughout the region. The low-pressure system affecting the weather is weak, and it is not strong enough to cause heavy rain, but it is adding to the high humidity and cloud cover that might cause such light showers or isolated rain along coasts or north later on the weekend.
As per the extended NCM prediction of UAE weather, there is a possibility of increased cloudiness on Saturday and Sunday with a possibility of light rainfall- however, no significant heavy precipitation is expected at this point. Winds are going to be moving in the direction of southeastern and northwestern, and will be intensified occasionally and will add to the ocean conditions that will be calm to mildly rough.
Winter Patterns And More General Trends
So far the UAE weather of winter has been characterized by periodical calm and stormy weather. It was observed that there were areas of cloudy skies, light rain, and growing winds that hit sections of the Emirates as midweek weather systems neared by.
The UAE weather is witnessing quite abnormal bad weather during winter last month and there was a lot of rainfall that impacted on travel and day to day life in several of the emirates. There were also cases of disruption of homes, roads and airports and rare weather conditions like funnel clouds and hail were reported in Ras Al Khaimah.
Although these instances of heavier precipitation are considered to be extraordinary to the desert climate of the UAE, they serve to remind its residents about the dynamism of weather that is present in the region even in winter.
Sea Conditions, Humidity And Wind
Although it is not going to be a wet day, there are likely to be situations when winds can be felt, particularly in the offshore and coastal areas. Those moderate winds can stir up dust and decrease the visibility in a desert open area, which is a typical characteristic of the winter winds in the Arabian Peninsula. The winds also cause the rougher seas in the Arabian Gulf and the Oman Sea especially during the night and in the early mornings.
The level of humidity is predicted to be elevated overnight, particularly in part of the west or coastal areas, and this increases the chances of mist, haze or early-morning fog and this factor could influence the visibility in the highway and at sea. Owing to the UAE weather forecast, motorists are also encouraged to remain vigilant when there is less visibility and the wind is likely to increase in speed, which means that the waters may become choppier to the mariners.
The UAE Weather Ahead
The UAE weather patterns of next week are expected to slowly curve towards less humid and colder weather without excluding cloud cover and small showers. Further observation of NCM advisories and forecasts will assist the residents in planning outdoor events and travel particularly because winter weather in the area is dynamic.
Meanwhile, though the probability of precipitation is rather low today, the skies of the UAE are hardly that of the traditional desert-like winter, and this is a reminder to everyone that even minor weather alterations in the atmosphere can cause significant changes in their lives and their weather predictions.
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