August 6, 2025 | Dubai, UAE: Regarding the Indian rupee dirham exchange rate, mounting concerns that it might breach the psychological barrier of 24 against the dirham, the Indian rupee is once more under great pressure. Following the most recent round of tariff threats from the United States, market experts and UAE-based companies are bracing for more swings in the Indian rupee dirham exchange rate.
On Monday, the INR started out weaker at 23.9 to the dirham (87.85 to the USD), while the previous day’s close was 23.86 (87.65 to the dollar). At 23.94 dirhams, its all-time low from February of this year, this puts the currency within easy reach.
Between Friday and Sunday, many UAE residents who sent money to India took advantage of currency rates ranging from 23.70 to 23.80. However, an increasing number of Indian expats and UAE-based businesses postponed transactions, projecting an INR to AED exchange rate to decline much more.

Neelesh Gopalan, treasury manager at a Dubai-based remittance company, said, “India’s ongoing decision to buy Russian oil outside of dollar settlements continues to agitate Western trade partners.” “With the U.S. threatening additional tariffs on Indian goods, investors expect the Indian rupee dirham exchange rate to remain unstable throughout August.”
Tariff Conflicts Strain INR to AED Outlook’s Stability
President Trump’s most recent warning of higher import taxes on Indian goods has caused upheaval in world currency markets. For the Indian rupee dirham exchange rate, it sparks another round of pessimism, made worse by poor foreign fund inflows and global inflation worries.
Gopalan continued, “The INR to AED trend has already been weak, but these geopolitical developments are hastening the fall of the rupee. If tensions last without a settlement, the rupee might reach 24 per dirham, a new all-time low.”

Although they are stable, India’s foreign currency reserves are now being put to the test by a rise in demand for the dollar and a fall in investor confidence. Foreign institutional investors have begun to cut their holdings of Indian stocks, which puts even more pressure on the INR to AED trajectory. Given India’s position as a big crude importer, the continued high world oil prices are a further obstacle for the rupee.
UAE currency analysts think the Reserve Bank of India could step in to slow the decline of the rupee but probably wouldn’t take strong action unless 24.10 or more is crossed. Market observers believe short-term changes would determine the Indian rupee dirham exchange rate until then, particularly given continuing Russia-related policy actions and trade negotiations with the United States.
Expat Companies Hold Off on Payments as Indian Rupee Dirham Exchange Rate Wavers
Remitters and cross-border companies in the United Arab Emirates are being cautious as the INR to AED rate is almost at 24. Some Indian expats are waiting in anticipation of a better Indian rupee dirham exchange rate in the days ahead, while others have benefited from recent surges.
Similar delays in payments and invoicing cycles have affected logistics, IT, and trading companies in the UAE with links to Indian vendors. A financial controller at a Sharjah-based trading company said, “Several clients requested a hold until the rupee moves past 24.” “If the tariff situation worsens, their wait may pay off.”

UAE remittance providers are reporting solid volumes even with the volatility, particularly as the Indian holiday season approaches. Experts predict the INR to AED transfer corridor to be active but very responsive to political events and monetary policy actions.
Financial experts advise expats to closely follow currency news, stay away from panic transfers, and think about sending money back home during the middle of the day when the forex market is most liquid. Gopalan clarified that “small timing differences can lead to better INR to AED rates, even on volatile days.”
Washington and New Delhi are the focus of everyone’s attention as the Indian rupee dirham exchange rate teeters perilously close to its all-time low. The road forward for the rupee is unclear and perhaps historic until trade uncertainties resolve.
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